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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona
2 - 1
Cobresal

Fydriszewski (9'), Diaz (18')
Preciado (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coelho (71')
Cespedes (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Barcelona SC and Cobresal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

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Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Barcelona
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Cobresal

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Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Cobresal
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Barcelona SC 3-1 Cobresal

 Following a disastrous Copa Libertadores group phase, Barcelona and Cobresal will be keen to put on a show in their final outing, and we are expecting an exciting watch. That said, we are also tipping the hosts to emerge triumphant come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 69.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Cobresal had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Cobresal win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawCobresal
69.95% (-0.146 -0.15) 18.12% (0.044 0.04) 11.93% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.13% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.4% (0.088000000000001 0.09)41.6% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36% (0.090999999999994 0.09)64% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (-0.012 -0.01)10.72% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.34% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)34.66% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Cobresal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.03% (0.241 0.24)44.96% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.09% (0.19 0.19)80.91% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 69.94%
    Cobresal 11.93%
    Draw 18.12%
Barcelona SCDrawCobresal
2-0 @ 12.01% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.15% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 69.94%
1-1 @ 8.61% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 18.12%
0-1 @ 3.85% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 11.93%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Cobresal

Barcelona SC
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Cobresal
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Cobresal
1-1
Barcelona
Valencia (90+1' pen.)
Fydriszewski (52' pen.)
Cortez (74'), Suarez (86'), Fydriszewski (89')
rhs 2.0
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