MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:27:57| >> :60:412:412:
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Atletico Mineiro

Sport
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Amaral Barletta de Almeida (14')
Coutinho Silva Lopes (7'), Felipe (12'), Henrique (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vargas (60'), Battaglia (62'), Paulinho (63'), Saravia (67'), Mariano (71'), Santana (76'), Mendes (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Sport Recife and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sport Recife

All competitions
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Sport (5-3 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Sport Recife 1-3 Atletico Mineiro

 Atletico Mineiro suffered an unexpected defeat in the Copa Libertadores last week and will be looking to bounce back with another commanding performance here. Despite giving it their all in the first leg, Sport were no match for the Serie A powerhouse, and we feel they will struggle to keep up in this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Sport RecifeDrawAtletico Mineiro
33.08% (0.26300000000001 0.26) 26.72% (-0.333 -0.33) 40.19% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.37% (1.101 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.4% (1.372 1.37)53.6% (-1.375 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89% (1.144 1.14)75.1% (-1.148 -1.15)
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (0.86499999999999 0.86)30.41% (-0.868 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (1.018 1.02)66.61% (-1.023 -1.02)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.672 0.67)26.17% (-0.675 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (0.89299999999999 0.89)61.26% (-0.896 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Sport Recife 33.08%
    Atletico Mineiro 40.19%
    Draw 26.72%
Sport RecifeDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.64% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.08%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 10.67% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.2% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.114 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.19%

Head to Head
May 1, 2024
1.30am
Third Round
Atletico Mineiro  
vs.
  Sport
Sep 18, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 21
Atletico Mineiro
3-0
Sport
Costa (35'), Hulk (45+1'), Vargas (90+9' pen.)
Rodrigues de Souza (15'), Tche (83')

Trellez (12'), Moccelin (32'), Thyere (90+8')
> Preview
Jun 7, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 2
Sport
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Marquinhos (29'), Oliveira (75'), Thyere (85')
Hulk (14')
Hyoran (6'), Rabello (53')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Sport
2-3
Atletico Mineiro
Dalberto (33'), Neves (87' pen.)
Henrique (20'), Marcao (45+1'), Dalberto (76'), Oliveira (89')
Ventura (90+9')
Jair (7'), Thyere (50' og.), Marrony (90+8')
Sasha (14'), Arana (81'), Marrony (84'), Alonso (90+6')
Sampaoli (90+9')
Oct 25, 2020 1am
Gameweek 18
Atletico Mineiro
0-0
Sport
Keno (87')
rhs 2.0
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