MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:52:17| >> :120:10393:10393:
Bahia
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Botafogo logo

Bahia
1 - 0
Botafogo

Rodriguez (87')
Ratao (18'), Alexandre (80'), Rodriguez (88'), Ribeiro (90+3')
Ratao (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Almada (17'), Barboza (77'), Bastos (90+4')
Gregore (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Bahia and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-4 Botafogo
Sunday, August 4 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 1-0 Botafogo (Bahia advances 2-1 on aggregate)

 The top priority for Fogo at the moment is probably maintaining their narrow advantage atop the domestic table, so we do not expect as much urgency from them in this contest. On the other hand, Bahia have fallen out of the Serie A title race, so we believe they will be the hungrier side on Wednesday, keen to move a step closer to winning a trophy in 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result
BahiaDrawBotafogo
48.88% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 26.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.32% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01% (0.0040000000000049 0)57.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)78.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)57.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)39.6% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)76.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 48.88%
    Botafogo 24.32%
    Draw 26.8%
BahiaDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 13.53%
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 24.32%

How you voted: Bahia vs Botafogo

Bahia
37.5%
Draw
15.6%
Botafogo
46.9%
32
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Botafogo
1-1
Bahia
Alberto (8')
Oliveira Souza (45+1')
Stum (69')
May 5, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Botafogo
1-2
Bahia
Jeffinho (63')
Bastos (81'), Barboza (90+5'), Barboza (91+5')
Stum (45+3' pen.), Ratao (86')
Kanu (36'), Rezende (76')
Aug 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Botafogo
3-0
Bahia
Costa (4', 52'), Henrique (76')
Costa (18'), Janderson (79')

Mingotti (23'), Oliveira Souza (27'), Yago (85')
Apr 25, 2023 12am
Gameweek 2
Bahia
1-2
Botafogo
Jacare (41')
Santos (29'), Tche (78')
Nov 8, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 20
Bahia
1-0
Botafogo
Rodrigoinho (90+8' pen.)
Gregore (32'), Elias (62')

Babi (17'), Nazario (84'), Marcelo (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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