MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:42:27| >> :600:183936:183936:
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Heliodoro Rodriguez Lopez
Las Palmas

Tenerife
2 - 0
Las Palmas

Amo (4'), Cruz (21')
Williams (28'), Sanz (29'), Amo (48'), Nacho (59')
Amo (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

A (23'), Araujo (76')
Araujo (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Tenerife and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tenerife

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Leganes 1-1 Tenerife
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Las Palmas

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Barcelona
Thursday, January 4 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Tenerife 0-0 Las Palmas (Tenerife advance on penalties)

 Las Palmas may be the higher-seeded team, but we believe these sides are evenly matched, with both boasting solid defensive units. The further this match remains even, the more it benefits Tenerife, who should be aided by having the crowd in their favour against their bitter rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.

Result
TenerifeDrawLas Palmas
48.12% (0.26300000000001 0.26) 27.26% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 24.61% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 45.04% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.62% (0.158 0.16)59.38% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.24% (0.123 0.12)79.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
Tenerife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (0.19799999999999 0.2)24.78% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (0.273 0.27)59.36% (-0.27 -0.27)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)40.12% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)76.76% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Tenerife 48.11%
    Las Palmas 24.61%
    Draw 27.26%
TenerifeDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 24.61%

How you voted: Tenerife vs Las Palmas

Tenerife
11.8%
Draw
47.1%
Las Palmas
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Tenerife
4-1
Las Palmas
Gallego (1', 5'), Rubio (45+1'), Nacho (90+5' pen.)
Jimenez (81')
Nov 26, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 17
Las Palmas
3-1
Tenerife
Pejino (39', 57'), Andone (89')
Dauda (90+3')
Jun 4, 2022 8pm
Las Palmas
1-2
Tenerife
Curbelo (71')
Viera (31'), Navas (45+5')
Pejino (90+6')
Gallego (4', 45+6')
Sanz (21'), Gallego (72'), Pomares (90+3')
> Preview
Jun 1, 2022 8pm
Tenerife
1-0
Las Palmas
Leon (36')
Moore (53')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Tenerife
0-1
Las Palmas

Sanz (58')
Rodriguez (72')
Diez (45+2'), Raul (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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