Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.27%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Sevilla in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.
