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Club Brugge
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2020 at 8pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
Dortmund logo

Brugge
0 - 3
Dortmund

FT(HT: 0-3)
Hazard (14'), Braut Haaland (18', 32')

Preview: Club Brugge vs. Borussia Dortmund - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League match between Club Brugge and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Club Brugge host Borussia Dortmund in Group F of the Champions League on Wednesday, with the Belgian side looking to remain unbeaten after a promising start in the competition.

Dortmund, meanwhile, will be aiming to end a run of four consecutive away defeats in the Champions League as they look to climb above their opponents in the group.


Match preview

Club Brugge's Simon Mignolet looks dejected after Manchester United's Odion Ighalo scores their second goal on February 27, 2020© Reuters

Philippe Clement's side are competing in the Champions League group stage for the third consecutive season, having finished third in the last two campaigns and dropping into the Europa League as a result.

This season they have been handed a more favourable draw, though, and will fancy their chances of causing an upset by progressing to the knockout stages for the first time in the club's history.

Charles De Ketelaere's last-minute strike gave Brugge three points on matchday one in a 2-1 win at Zenit St Petersburg, before Hans Vanaken's penalty earned a creditable 1-1 draw at home to Lazio.

Despite a promising start, Clement will be more than aware there is plenty of work left to do in order to qualify for the next stage. He will be hoping his side can capitalise on Dortmund's generally poor away form in Europe to cause another upset.

Erling Braut Haaland in action for Borussia Dortmund on October 24, 2020© Reuters

Indeed, Dortmund's 3-1 loss at Lazio on matchday one was their sixth defeat in eight away games in this competition, which is a record that Lucien Favre must improve if his side have any serious aspirations of competing in the latter stages.

BVB were not overly impressive in defeating Zenit 2-0 either, with Jadon Sancho's late penalty breaking the deadlock before Erling Braut Haaland sealed the three points in injury time.

The Norwegian striker missed the weekend's 2-0 win at Arminia Bielefeld with a knee issue, but should be fit for the short trip to Belgium.

However, Favre will undoubtedly have one eye on Saturday's Der Klassiker against Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga, with any sign of complacency or squad rotation sure to boost a Brugge side becoming more experienced and confident at this level.

Club Brugge Champions League form: WD
Club Brugge form (all competitions): WDWLDD

Borussia Dortmund Champions League form: LW
Borussia Dortmund form (all competitions): WWLWWW


Team News

Club Brugge's Simon Mignolet looks dejected after Manchester United's Odion Ighalo scores their second goal on February 27, 2020© Reuters

Former Liverpool goalkeeper Simon Mignolet should retain his place in between the posts having ousted Ethan Horvath as the first choice number one at Brugge.

Clement utilised a back five against Lazio and may do the same against a Dortmund side who will pose a huge threat to their defence.

Haaland should return to the side, but Mats Hummels may be rested having picked up a thigh issue after scoring a brace in the 2-0 win at Arminia.

Losing Hummels would be a major blow for Favre and his side, who are already without other defensive options with Emre Can, Dan-Axel Zagadou, Marcel Schmelzer and Nico Schulz all still sidelined.

Club Brugge possible starting lineup:
Mignolet; Mata, Kossounou, Deli; Diatta, Vormer, Rits, Vanaken, Sobol; Bonaventure, De Ketelaere

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Burki; Meunier, Akanji, Hummels, Guerreiro; Dahoud, Witsel; Sancho, Reus, Reyna; Haaland


SM words green background

We say: Club Brugge 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Should Haaland and Hummels win their fitness battles, we expect Dortmund to have a little too much quality in both boxes for Brugge, who have not won a group match at home in this competition since 2005.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Wednesday's Champions League clash between Club Brugge and Borussia Dortmund?

Club Brugge
11.5%
Draw
11.5%
Borussia Dortmund
77.0%
165
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League Phase

TeamPWDLPTS
1Liverpool440012
2Sporting Lisbon431010
3Brest431010
4Inter Milan431010
5Monaco431010
6Barcelona43019
7Dortmund43019
8Aston Villa43019
9Atalanta42208
10Juventus42117
11Lille42117
12Man City42117
13Arsenal42117
14B. Leverkusen42117
15Celtic42117
16Dinamo Zagreb42117
17AC Milan42026
18Bayern42026
19Benfica42026
20Feyenoord42026
21Real Madrid42026
22Brugge42026
23Atletico42026
24PSV41215
25Sparta Prague41124
26Stuttgart41124
27PSG41124
28Shakhtar41124
29Girona41033
30Salzburg41033
31Bologna40131
32RB Leipzig40040
33Sturm Graz40040
34Young Boys40040
35Red Star40040
36Slovan Bratislava40040


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