Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Qingdao had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Qingdao win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.