Chinese Super League | Gameweek 8

Jul 4, 2022 at 8.30am UK

Jinzhou Stadium

Wuhan
2 - 1
Guangzhou

Kajevic (18'), Brown Forbes (79')
Ye (67'), Jinghang (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yang (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Wuhan and Guangzhou, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

The sides will head into the match sensing an opportunity to heap more misery on each other, and we are expecting an open affair with chances at both ends. That said, we are tipping Wuhan to narrowly come out on top at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wuhan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wuhan.

Result
Wuhan	Draw	Guangzhou
48.45% ( -0.22)	26.8% ( -0.02)	24.75% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 46.41% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.32% (

0.23)

57.68% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.56% (

0.18)

78.44% (

-0.19)

Wuhan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

-0)

23.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.92% (

-0)

58.08% (

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.97% (

0.35)

39.03% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.24% (

0.33)

75.76% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Wuhan 48.44%

Guangzhou 24.75%

Draw 26.79%

Wuhan	Draw	Guangzhou
1-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.44%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.48% Total : 24.75%