Chinese Super League | Gameweek 6

Jun 26, 2022 at 10.30am UK

Aswan Stadium

Sh. Shenhua
2 - 1
Guangzhou

Wang (19'), Yunding (70')
Yunqiu (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Shihao (81')
Shihao (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Guangzhou, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 Guangzhou

Buoyed their victory last time out, Guangzhou will head into Saturday's game full of confidence, but they will be going up against a Shanghai Shenhua side who are firing on all cylinders. We are backing the hosts to come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 70.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 9.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Guangzhou
70.83% ( 0.33)	19.42% ( 0.16)	9.75% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 37.8% (

-2.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19% (

-1.88)

52.8% (

1.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

-1.63)

74.43% (

1.63)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.27% (

-0.48)

13.73% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59% (

-0.96)

41% (

0.96)

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.81% (

-2.17)

56.18% (

2.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.42% (

-1.3)

88.58% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 70.81%

Guangzhou 9.75%

Draw 19.42%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Guangzhou
1-0 @ 15.31% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 15.2% ( 0.59) 3-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 5% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.99% Total : 70.81%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.42%	0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.48% Total : 9.75%