Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.