Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.