Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.