Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in this match.