Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
