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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Sep 24, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
2 - 0
Wuhan

Lima (39'), Negrao (59')
Zhang (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Xu (32'), Peng (61'), Yun (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Wuhan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Changchun 1-2 Wuhan TT
Tuesday, September 20 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Wuhan 0-3 Shenzhen
Tuesday, September 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Changchun Yatai 2-1 Wuhan

Both teams have been largely underwhelming this term, and all three points here could be the catalyst for a change in fortunes. We expect an open and entertaining affair with the hosts narrowly coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawWuhan
37.04% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 28.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 34.53% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)59.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.01% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)67.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Wuhan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)32.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)69.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 37.03%
    Wuhan 34.53%
    Draw 28.41%
Changchun YataiDrawWuhan
1-0 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 37.03%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 11.33%
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.53%

How you voted: Changchun vs Wuhan

Changchun Yatai
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Wuhan
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 9.30am
Wuhan
2-2
Changchun
Kouassi (25'), Lopes (72' pen.)
Negrao (45+1'), Long (62')
Zhang (12'), Tudi (68')
May 4, 2021 11am
Changchun
0-0
Wuhan

Zhe (39'), Zhang (48')

Luo (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422


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