Chinese Super League | Gameweek 18
Sep 30, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium
Changchun1 - 0Shenzhen
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shenzhen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Changchun 2-0 Wuhan
Saturday, September 24 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Saturday, September 24 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Shenzhen 0-4 Shandong
Saturday, September 24 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Saturday, September 24 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Changchun Yatai in this match.
Result | ||
Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shenzhen |
45.07% ( 0.02) | 25.95% ( 0) | 28.98% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.01% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.03% ( -0.02) | 51.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% ( -0.02) | 73.7% ( 0.02) |
Changchun Yatai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.01% ( -0) | 22.99% ( 0) |