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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 18
Sep 30, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium
Shenzhen FC

Changchun
1 - 0
Shenzhen

Long (4')
Zheng (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Haolun (56')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shenzhen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Changchun 2-0 Wuhan
Saturday, September 24 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shenzhen 0-4 Shandong
Saturday, September 24 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Changchun Yatai in this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawShenzhen
45.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.95% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.01% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)51.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-0.02 -0.02)73.7% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.99% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)32.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)68.98% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 45.07%
    Shenzhen 28.98%
    Draw 25.95%
Changchun YataiDrawShenzhen
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 45.07%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.98%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2021 12pm
Shenzhen
0-1
Changchun

Yongpo (79')
Jie (70')
Jie (54'), Mao (85')
Dec 16, 2021 12pm
Changchun
1-1
Shenzhen
Negrao (6')
Li (41')
Quintero (77')
Dalun (43'), Dai (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422


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