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Champions League
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Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Young Boys

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Young Boys

Sesko (51'), Forsberg (56')
Poulsen (70'), Lenz (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Colley (53')
Garcia (33'), Colley (81'), Monteiro (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Young Boys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Young Boys

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Young Boys 3-0 St Gallen
Saturday, December 9 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Young Boys

 Both teams are merely playing for pride in this fixture, but they will be keen to end the group stage on a high, with Young Boys seeking revenge following their loss to Leipzig in the reverse fixture. Seven of Leipzig's last eight home wins in the Champions League have seen both teams score, and we believe that the German hosts will outscore their opponents once again, even if Rose decides to make several changes to his lineup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Young Boys win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawYoung Boys
65.97% (-0.619 -0.62) 17.8% (0.297 0.3) 16.23% (0.325 0.33)
Both teams to score 62.83% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.19% (-0.831 -0.83)29.81% (0.835 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.04% (-1.014 -1.01)50.96% (1.016 1.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.51% (-0.349 -0.35)8.49% (0.3519 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.57% (-0.87299999999999 -0.87)29.43% (0.876 0.88)
Young Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (-0.181 -0.18)31.34% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (-0.211 -0.21)67.7% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 65.97%
    Young Boys 16.23%
    Draw 17.8%
RB LeipzigDrawYoung Boys
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.72% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.56% (0.202 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.1% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.76% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.35% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.36% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
6-1 @ 0.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 65.97%
1-1 @ 7.61% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.66% (0.125 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 17.8%
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.092 0.09)
0-1 @ 3.09% (0.13 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.79% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 16.23%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Young Boys

RB Leipzig
80.2%
Draw
15.3%
Young Boys
4.5%
111
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Young Boys
1-3
RB Leipzig
Elia (33')
Benito (45'), Lauper (61'), Blum (76')
Simakan (3'), Schlager (73'), Sesko (90+2')
Kampl (55'), Simons (67'), Forsberg (79'), Simakan (90')
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