MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 06:05:22| >> :600:356477:356477:
Champions League header

Champions League
Leipzig logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Juventus logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 3
Juventus

Sesko (30', 65' pen.)
Raum (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vlahovic (50', 68'), Conceicao (82')
Conceicao (85'), Perin (90+9')
Di Gregorio (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-0 Augsburg
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Juventus

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Genoa 0-3 Juventus
Saturday, September 28 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: RB Leipzig 1-0 Juventus

 Leipzig have conceded just two goals in four Bundesliga matches so far this season - and both of those came in the course of beating champions Bayer Leverkusen - while Juventus have shipped only one overall. Naturally, it could be a close-fought contest, with one moment of magic enough to make the difference between two well-matched teams. A more potent attack should ensure that the hosts take maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawJuventus
45.33% (0.277 0.28) 26.09% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 28.58% (-0.354 -0.35)
Both teams to score 51.35% (-0.448 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (-0.47900000000001 -0.48)52.7% (0.47900000000001 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (-0.411 -0.41)74.34% (0.41199999999999 0.41)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)23.19% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (-0.107 -0.11)57.07% (0.107 0.11)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (-0.51899999999999 -0.52)33.15% (0.51900000000001 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (-0.577 -0.58)69.75% (0.577 0.58)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 45.32%
    Juventus 28.58%
    Draw 26.09%
RB LeipzigDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 45.32%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 28.58%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Juventus

RB Leipzig
44.4%
Draw
21.4%
Juventus
34.2%
304
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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