Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.