Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 10

May 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven
1 - 2
Westerlo

Dagur Thorsteinsson (52')
Schingtienne (7'), Russo (45+4'), Maertens (69')
Ricca (25'), Russo (68')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vaesen (34'), Tagir (45+3')
van den Keybus (49'), Piedfort (69'), Tagir (85'), Stassin (89'), Neustadter (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Westerlo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions

Last Game: Sint-Truiden 1-1 Leuven
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Westerlo

All competitions

Last Game: Westerlo 0-2 Mechelen
Saturday, May 18 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Although this a dead-rubber, both teams will want to end their season on a high. Although Leuven have not necessarily impressed in the final third, we feel that they will do enough to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Leuven	Draw	Westerlo
53.45% ( 0.31)	22.79% ( -0.09)	23.76% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 57.69% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.68% (

0.22)

42.32% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.27% (

0.22)

64.73% (

-0.21)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.18% (

0.18)

15.82% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55% (

0.34)

45% (

-0.33)

Westerlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53% (

-0.06)

31.47% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.15% (

-0.07)

67.85% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Leuven 53.45%

Westerlo 23.76%

Draw 22.78%

Leuven	Draw	Westerlo
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.45%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.78%	1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 23.76%