Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 71.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Royal Excel Mouscron win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.