Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.