Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 61.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.