Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Dinamo Minsk had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.