Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 67.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 11.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.76%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.