Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.