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Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Dortmund logo

Augsburg
1 - 1
Dortmund

Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')

Preview: Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Borussia Dortmund will be looking to put their disappointing Europa League exit behind them when they return to Bundesliga action at Augsburg on Sunday.

The visitors remain well in the title race despite their poor showings in Europe, whilst the hosts continued their poor run of form by suffering another defeat last weekend to leave them fighting for survival.


Match preview

Augsburg head coach Markus Weinzierl pictured on November 19, 2021© Reuters

Augsburg head into matchday 24 on the back of a disappointing run that has seen them win just once in their last eight matches either side of the winter break in Germany.

A 2-1 defeat at home to European hopefuls Freiburg last weekend was the latest of their setbacks, despite a relatively promising display from Markus Weinzierl's side.

After falling behind inside four minutes, Michael Gregoritsch was on hand to net his fourth goal in his last six Bundesliga fixtures to equalise for Fuggerstadter just 12 minutes later.

However, Augsburg found themselves behind once more before the 30-minute mark, during a thrilling start to the game at the WWK Arena.

Despite some bright moments during the second half, Augsburg could not claw themselves back level for a second time, with Freiburg inflicting on them a fourth defeat of 2022 already.

That result leaves Sunday's hosts occupying the relegation playoff spot prior to the weekend of action in the Bundesliga, with three points separating them from Stuttgart in the automatic relegation zone, but just one point from Hertha Berlin in safety directly above them.

A visit of title-challenging Dortmund at the weekend is therefore far from ideal, but following two victories in their last three meetings with BVB on home soil, Weinzierl will be reminding his side of their capabilities when they perform at their highest levels.

Borussia Dortmund's Donyell Malen celebrates scoring their second goal with Julian Brandt, Emre Can, Marco Reus and teammates on February 20, 2022© Reuters

Meanwhile, Dortmund's thumping 6-0 win over Borussia Monchengladbach in the Bundesliga last Sunday ensured the six-point gap between themselves and Bayern Munich at the summit was not extended further.

Marco Reus netted twice and assisted three further goals against his former club, which also saw manager Marco Rose haunt his former employers in a comfortable Borussen derby victory.

The result maintained BVB's fine domestic start to the New Year, with Sunday's visitors winning five of their six Bundesliga outings since returning from the winter break.

However, cup performances have halted Dortmund's overall momentum in 2022, with a humiliating DFB-Pokal exit at the hands of 2.Bundesliga side St Pauli being followed up by their exit from the Europa League at the hands of Scottish champions Rangers on Thursday evening.

Heading to Ibrox on the back of the shocking 4-2 defeat at Signal Iduna Park the prior week, Dortmund fell behind midway through the first half courtesy of a James Tavernier penalty.

Despite Jude Bellingham and Donyell Malen hauling their side into the lead on the night, a second from Tavernier before the hour mark condemned Rose's side to an early exit from Europe in a 6-4 defeat on aggregate.

With only Bundesliga fixtures remaining between now and May, Dortmund can at least take positives from the fact that they can shift their full focus to their attempts of ending Bayern's domination in recent years, with the Bavarians aiming for a 10th consecutive top-flight title this campaign.

Augsburg Bundesliga form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Borussia Dortmund form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Borussia Dortmund's Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring their first goal on January 18, 2022© Reuters

Augsburg must do without Robert Gumny and Tobias Strobl once more on Sunday, with the latter remaining out for the season due to a serious knee injury.

The former's absence means Raphael Framberger will continue at right full-back, whilst the experienced Daniel Caligiuri could come onto the right side of midfield to replace the suspended Andre Hahn, who picked up his fifth yellow card of the season last week.

Ricardo Pepi put in a bright display off the bench in the defeat to Freiburg, but the American will likely start as a substitute once more at the weekend, with Gregoritsch's fine form keeping him in attack alongside Florian Niederlechner in recent weeks.

As for the visitors, Erling Braut Haaland faces a race against time to be fit for the trip to Augsburg, having missed the last five fixtures across all competitions during an injury-hit campaign.

Captain Reus also picked up a knock at Ibrox in midweek, but he is expected to recover in time, although Thomas Meunier's muscular problem could keep him on the sidelines after he was forced off at half time.

Giovanni Reyna made a long-awaited return from injury against Gladbach last weekend, but his early exit due to a muscle injury put a dampener on the huge win.

His latest issue is likely to keep the American sidelined for a couple of weeks, and he is joined by Manuel Akanji, Mateu Morey, Dan-Axel Zagadou and Marcel Schmelzer.

Augsburg possible starting lineup:
Gikiewicz; Framberger, Gouweleeuw, Oxford, Iago; Caligiuri, Moravek, Dorsch, Vargas; Gregoritsch, Niederlechner

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Wolf, Can, Hummels, Guerreiro; Dahoud, Bellingham; Brandt, Reus, Hazard; Malen


SM words green background

We say: Augsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Were Haaland fit enough to play a big part on Sunday, we would be predicting a comfortable Dortmund victory, but with their talisman likely to be missing, these are the types of games that Dortmund tend to slip up in.

The visitors coped well without Haaland in their demolition of Gladbach last week, and if they can replicate that clinical form on Sunday, then they should have enough in them to see off a struggling Augsburg side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 0-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Augsburg vs Dortmund

Augsburg
12.7%
Draw
9.5%
Borussia Dortmund
77.8%
63
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 Borussia Dortmund's Erling Braut Haaland during the warm up before the match, January 18, 2022
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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