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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
3 - 0
Lanus

Juarez (20'), Machuca (64'), Aguero (66')
Ignacio Nardoni (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (48'), Cechi (72'), Cabral (73')
Gonzalez (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Union 2-1 Lanus

Both teams head into this match with a defeat in their most recent outing, providing them with plenty of desire in order to get back to winning ways with immediate effect. Union have shown their qualities throughout the season and even though Lanus are in desperate need of points in order to push away from the relegation zone, the hosts should have enough to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawLanus
44.87% (1.869 1.87) 27.06% (0.363 0.36) 28.07% (-2.241 -2.24)
Both teams to score 48.17% (-2.282 -2.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-2.351 -2.35)56.65% (2.342 2.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-1.926 -1.93)77.62% (1.918 1.92)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.119 -0.12)25.14% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.16 -0.16)59.86% (0.15 0.15)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-2.949 -2.95)35.64% (2.941 2.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-3.165 -3.17)72.41% (3.155 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Union 44.87%
    Lanus 28.07%
    Draw 27.05%
UnionDrawLanus
1-0 @ 12.37% (1.04 1.04)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.689 0.69)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.87%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.776 0.78)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.36 -0.36)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.499 -0.5)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.375 -0.38)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28.07%

How you voted: Union vs Lanus

Union
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Lanus
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 7.45pm
Lanus
1-1
Union
Sand (22')
Thaller (53'), Morel (70')
Canete (86')
Aug 25, 2019 5.15pm
Union
1-2
Lanus
Gomez Andrade (74')
Corvalan (78'), Martinez (81')
Auzqui (28'), Acosta (58')
Auzqui (34'), De La Vega (66')
Mar 16, 2019 6.30pm
Union
3-0
Lanus
Troyansky (1', 14'), Zabala (50')
Pitton (45'), Pitton (85')

Tiago (45'), Quignon (49'), Carrasco (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Platense238961816233
11Instituto239592925432
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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