Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9

Jul 20, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella

Patronato
1 - 0
Tigre

Alvarez (47')
Medina (7'), Sosa (67'), Mosevich (89'), Lozano (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Protti (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

The two teams are amongst the highest scorers so far, so we tip both of them to get on the scoresheet in this one. That said, we just about fancy Tigre to scrape a narrow victory come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Patronato in this match.

Result
Patronato	Draw	Tigre
36.19% ( -8.07)	28.07% ( 0.86)	35.75% ( 7.22)

Both teams to score 47.6% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.51% (

-1.51)

58.49% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.93% (

-1.19)

79.08% (

1.19)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.14% (

-5.26)

30.87% (

5.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.85% (

-6.67)

67.15% (

6.67)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.86% (

4.31)

31.15% (

-4.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.53% (

4.74)

67.48% (

-4.74)

Score Analysis

Patronato 36.19%

Tigre 35.75%

Draw 28.06%

Patronato	Draw	Tigre
1-0 @ 11.3% ( -1.06) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.99) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -1.78) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.93) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -1.22) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.29) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.19%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 11.21% ( 1.8) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 1.04) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 1.66) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.69) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.86) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.75%