MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:31:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 24, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Lanus

Aleman (29' pen.)
Aleman (30'), Guiffrey (64'), Morales (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aude (31'), Loaiza (35'), Careaga (51'), Acosta (75'), Boggio (86')
Aude (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Gimnasia
Friday, July 22 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 2-2 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Gimnasia 1-0 Lanus

Gimnasia have turned their home ground into a real fortress, and they are huge favourites to emerge victorious here. While we expect Lanus to give a good account of themselves, we are also tipping the hosts to come out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawLanus
54.41% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1) 24.57% (0.012 0.01) 21.01% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.46% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (0.039000000000001 0.04)52.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)74.44% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)19.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)51.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (0.109 0.11)39.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (0.101 0.1)76.58% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 54.41%
    Lanus 21.01%
    Draw 24.57%
GimnasiaDrawLanus
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 54.41%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.01%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Lanus

Gimnasia
100%
Draw
0.0%
Lanus
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2021 8.30pm
Lanus
2-0
Gimnasia
Manuel Lopez (14'), Gonzalez (36')
Belmonte (28'), Bernabei (34'), Thaller (35'), Manuel Lopez (44'), Aguirre (83')

Insaurralde (38')
Carbonero (28')
Apr 3, 2021 8.15pm
Gimnasia
2-4
Lanus
Licht (22', 82')
Aleman (29'), Licht (67')
Perez (15', 33'), Esquivel (46'), De la Vega (80')
Aude (29'), Belmonte (38'), Esquivel (63')
Jul 27, 2019 9.45pm
Lanus
1-1
Gimnasia
Valenti (21')
Di Placido (94')
Garcia (60')
Mussis (34'), Ayala (69'), Melluso (70'), Caire (86'), Gomez (89'), Tijanovich (94')
Caire (94')
Feb 9, 2019 12.10am
Lanus
2-0
Gimnasia
Sand (36' pen.), Di Placido (44')
Belmonte (55')

Gonzalo (45'), Faravelli (70'), Guanini (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Atletico TucumanTucuman219662121033
6Racing ClubRacing209472820831
7River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16Rosario CentralRosario216782321225
17GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
18Boca Juniors206772122-125
19Independiente Rivadavia216781421-725
20San Lorenzo206681618-224
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento214981521-621
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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