Argentine Primera Division
May 1, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Estudiantes1 - 1Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-1 Gremio
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-2 Boca Juniors
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Boca Juniors |
54.48% ( 0.07) | 25.75% ( -0.03) | 19.77% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.59% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
