Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 47.27%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.03%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Deportivo Riestra would win this match.