Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9

Oct 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Union

Rojo (7'), Merentiel (71')
Fernandez (37'), Valdez (46'), Merentiel (72'), Campuzano (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Luna Diale (42')
Mosqueira (87')
Calderon (28')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Belgrano 4-3 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, October 11 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union

All competitions

Last Game: Union 1-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, October 8 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Union had a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Union
43.63% ( -0.57)	29.55% ( 0.09)	26.81% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 40.92% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.57% (

-0.07)

65.42% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.81% (

-0.05)

84.19% (

0.05)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05% (

-0.35)

29.95% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.94% (

-0.42)

66.06% (

0.43)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.41% (

0.38)

41.59% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.92% (

0.33)

78.08% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 43.63%

Union 26.8%

Draw 29.54%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 15.01% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.33% Total : 43.63%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.54%	0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.2% Total : 26.8%