Belgrano

4 - 3

Boca Juniors

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.