MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 17:57:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 2, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
1 - 2
Mjallby AIF

Samuel Kalu (73')
Junior Adjei (27'), Winsth (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brorsson (1'), Bergstrom (64')
Brorsson (45+3'), Gustavsson (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and Mjallby AIF, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norrkoping 0-4 Varnamo
Monday, May 27 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 2-1 Hacken
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Varnamo 1-1 Mjallby AIF

While it is Mjallby who have enjoyed the more impressive start to the Allsvenskan campaign, Varnamo have certainly showed plenty of improvement in recent weeks, and we expect them to make it tough and take a share of the points on home turf on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.

Result
VarnamoDrawMjallby AIF
36.33% (0.204 0.2) 26.65% (0.0010000000000012 0) 37.01% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)52.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)74.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.116 0.12)28.05% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (0.15 0.15)63.71% (-0.152 -0.15)
Mjallby AIF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (-0.126 -0.13)27.65% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-0.164 -0.16)63.19% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 36.33%
    Mjallby AIF 37.01%
    Draw 26.65%
VarnamoDrawMjallby AIF
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.33%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 37.01%

How you voted: Varnamo vs Mjallby AIF

Varnamo
20.0%
Draw
26.7%
Mjallby AIF
53.3%
30
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mjallby AIF
2-3
Varnamo
Fenger (8'), Baldvin Nokkvason (38')
Petersson (36'), Pettersson (79')
Zeljkovic (17'), Johansson (74' pen.), Engvall (87')
Grozdanic (2'), Eriksson (23')
Grozdanic (41')
Apr 10, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Varnamo
0-1
Mjallby AIF
Brorsson (27')
Oct 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 24
Varnamo
2-1
Mjallby AIF
Antonsson (43'), Gracia (89' og.)
May 14, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Mjallby AIF
1-1
Varnamo
Johansson (90+5')
Gracia (42')
Johansson (6')
Netinho (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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