Although both sides have the same points and similar goal difference, Norrkoping have conceded 23 goals, five more than their opponents, and this defensive frailty could be detrimental to their chances of victory. Additionally, Varnamo's good away record will likely mean that Mravac and his players feel confident that they can achieve a positive result in Monday's clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.

Result
IFK Norrkoping	Draw	Varnamo
44.21% ( -0.1)	24.58% ( 0.28)	31.21% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 57.74% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96% (

-1.33)

45.04% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61% (

-1.29)

67.39% (

1.3)

IFK Norrkoping Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53% (

-0.59)

20.47% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.05% (

-0.95)

52.95% (

0.96)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

-0.76)

27.39% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14% (

-1)

62.86% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

IFK Norrkoping 44.21%

Varnamo 31.21%

Draw 24.57%

IFK Norrkoping	Draw	Varnamo
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.21%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.21%