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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 18
Aug 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Varberg Energi Arena

Varbergs
0 - 3
Mjallby AIF


Stanisic (12'), Sainte (41'), Tranberg (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fenger (21', 87'), Lofquist (58' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Mjallby AIF, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varbergs BoIS

All competitions
Last Game: Halmstad 0-5 Varbergs
Saturday, July 29 at 7pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Mjallby AIF

All competitions
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 0-1 Djurgarden
Sunday, July 30 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Varbergs BoIS 1-2 Mjallby AIF

 Going by the form book, there is only one possible way to predict this outcome given that Varbergs have lost five straight games at home, in contrast to Mjallby winning three of their last four away matches. However, the two sides had contrasting results last weekend and football is a funny old game, but we expect the visitors to prevail on another away patch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.

Result
Varbergs BoISDrawMjallby AIF
30.57% (0.685 0.68) 27.52% (0.238 0.24) 41.91% (-0.922 -0.92)
Both teams to score 48.12% (-0.386 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66% (-0.633 -0.63)57.33% (0.63500000000001 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (-0.505 -0.5)78.16% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91% (0.176 0.18)34.09% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (0.189 0.19)70.78% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)
Mjallby AIF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.782 -0.78)26.98% (0.783 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (-1.036 -1.04)62.33% (1.037 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Varbergs BoIS 30.57%
    Mjallby AIF 41.91%
    Draw 27.51%
Varbergs BoISDrawMjallby AIF
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.283 0.28)
2-1 @ 6.98% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.33% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.57%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.221 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 12.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 7.89% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.91%

How you voted: Varbergs vs Mjallby AIF

Varbergs BoIS
18.2%
Draw
0.0%
Mjallby AIF
81.8%
11
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Mjallby AIF
2-2
Varbergs
Johansson (10'), Brorsson (56')
Pektas (60'), Al Hamlawi (66')
Oct 24, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Mjallby AIF
4-1
Varbergs
Gracia (28'), Stahl (55'), Nwankwo (65'), Mensah (82' og.)
Johansson (75')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 5
Varbergs
0-0
Mjallby AIF
Stanisic (58')
Worts (35'), Johansson (78')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 30
Varbergs
0-3
Mjallby AIF

Winbo (17'), Alfonsi (42'), Kunst (50'), Le Roux (82')
Sarr (38' pen.), Bergstrom (66', 89')
Sarr (76'), Gustavsson (82'), Johansson (90+2')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 1
Mjallby AIF
0-0
Varbergs
Gustafsson (29')
Le Roux (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723
> Swedish Allsvenskan Full Table


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