Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 15, 2022 at 4pm UK

Nigeria
3 - 1
Sudan

Chukwueze (3'), Awoniyi (45'), Simon (46')
Aina (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Khidir Safour Daiyeen (70' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Nigeria stuck to the gameplan and secured a vital win against Egypt, who should be their most difficult opponent in the group stages. They will be boosted by that performance and we predict they will carry on that momentum into Saturday's game and claim all three points against a floundering Sudan side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Sudan
59.46%	23.9%	16.64%

Both teams to score 43.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.16%

55.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.04%

76.96%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.43%

18.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.17%

49.83%

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.23%

46.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.69%

82.31%

Score Analysis

Nigeria 59.45%

Sudan 16.64%

Draw 23.9%

Nigeria	Draw	Sudan
1-0 @ 14.62% 2-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 5.25% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 2% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.45%	1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.55% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.6% 1-2 @ 4.22% 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.23% Total : 16.64%