Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.