MX23RW : Monday, November 25 19:06:23| >> :60:408:408:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 2, 2023 at 5pm UK
Markaziy Stadion

Nasaf
3 - 1
Al-Sadd

Nurulloev (29'), Amonov (46', 58')
Nurulloev (42'), Gaybullaev (50'), Sidikov (60'), Bozorov (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Khoukhi (83')
Plata (60'), Afif (84')
Afif (86')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nasaf and Al-Sadd.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al-Faisaly 0-1 Nasaf
Monday, September 18 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al-Sadd 4-0 Al Gharafa
Thursday, September 28 at 4pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nasaf win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nasaf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nasaf would win this match.

Result
NasafDrawAl-Sadd
46.87% (0.0039999999999978 0) 25.26% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 27.87% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.46% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.27% (-0.137 -0.14)49.73% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.26% (-0.121 -0.12)71.74% (0.11999999999999 0.12)
Nasaf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)21.23% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)54.13% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Al-Sadd Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.87% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)32.13% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.39% (-0.108 -0.11)68.61% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Nasaf 46.87%
    Al-Sadd 27.87%
    Draw 25.25%
NasafDrawAl-Sadd
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 46.87%
1-1 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 27.87%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 6.15pm
Group Stage
Nasaf
3-1
Al-Sadd
Mozgovoy (63', 77'), Norchayev (75')
Davronov (57'), Saitov (74')
Tabata (90+1')
Apr 8, 2022 6.15pm
Group Stage
Al-Sadd
1-1
Nasaf
Khoukhi (55')
(76')
Hassan (27'), Ro-Ro (63')
Ro-Ro (31' og.)
Smajlagic (11'), Nurulloev (50'), Davronov (61')
Mar 13, 2018 3.15pm
-
Al-Sadd
4-0
Nasaf
Xavi (3'), Hassan (15'), Bounedjah (43'), Hamroun (71')

Hasanov (45')
Mar 5, 2018 1.30pm
-
Nasaf
1-0
Al-Sadd
Ganiev (62' pen.)
Rakhmatov (21')

Suhail (19'), Ali Al Hajri (61')
rhs 2.0
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