AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 2, 2023 at 5pm UK

Markaziy Stadion

Nasaf
3 - 1
Al-Sadd

Nurulloev (29'), Amonov (46', 58')
Nurulloev (42'), Gaybullaev (50'), Sidikov (60'), Bozorov (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Khoukhi (83')
Plata (60'), Afif (84')
Afif (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nasaf and Al-Sadd.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nasaf

Last Game: Al-Faisaly 0-1 Nasaf
Monday, September 18 at 5pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Sadd

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al-Sadd 4-0 Al Gharafa
Thursday, September 28 at 4pm in Qatar Stars League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nasaf win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nasaf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nasaf would win this match.

Result
Nasaf	Draw	Al-Sadd
46.87% ( 0)	25.26% ( 0.02)	27.87% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.46% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.27% (

-0.14)

49.73% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.26% (

-0.12)

71.74% (

0.12)

Nasaf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

-0.05)

21.23% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86% (

-0.08)

54.13% (

0.08)

Al-Sadd Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.87% (

-0.1)

32.13% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.39% (

-0.11)

68.61% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Nasaf 46.87%

Al-Sadd 27.87%

Draw 25.25%

Nasaf	Draw	Al-Sadd
1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.87%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.87%