AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 18, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadion Surkhon

Al-Faisaly
0 - 1
Nasaf

FT(HT: 0-0)

Abdirahmatov (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Faisaly and Nasaf.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Faisaly

Last Game: Esteghlal 3-0 Al-Faisaly
Saturday, January 25 at 2.20pm in AFC Champions League

Nasaf

Last Game: Al Shabab 2-0 Nasaf
Sunday, February 19 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Faisaly win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Nasaf had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Faisaly win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Nasaf win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Al-Faisaly	Draw	Nasaf
37.14% ( 0.21)	28.94% ( -0.45)	33.91% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 44.96% (

1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.32% (

1.52)

61.68% (

-1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.5% (

1.11)

81.5% (

-1.11)

Al-Faisaly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12% (

0.92)

31.88% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.67% (

1.04)

68.32% (

-1.04)

Nasaf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66% (

0.98)

34% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.32% (

1.04)

70.68% (

-1.04)

Score Analysis

Al-Faisaly 37.14%

Nasaf 33.91%

Draw 28.93%

Al-Faisaly	Draw	Nasaf
1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.14%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.63) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.93%	0-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.91%