AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
King Fahd International Stadium
Istiqlol Dushanbe1 - 2AMGK
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and AGMK.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istiqlol Dushanbe win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for AMGK had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an AMGK win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | AGMK |
| 49.81% | 27.09% | 23.11% |
| Both teams to score 44.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.13% | 59.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.86% | 80.14% |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% | 24.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.45% | 58.55% |
| AGMK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.17% | 41.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.71% | 78.29% |
| Score Analysis |
Istiqlol Dushanbe 49.8%
AGMK 23.11%
Draw 27.07%
| Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | AGMK |
| 1-0 @ 14.36% 2-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.8% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.15% Total : 23.11% |
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
AGMK
2-3
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Polvonov (57', 90')
Dokic (45+1' og.), Dzhalilov (55'), Rahimov (80')
Feb 12, 2019 11am
Preliminary round 2
AGMK
4-2
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Juraev (25'), Shikhov (72'), Khakimov (78'), Polvonov (82')
Rakhmatov (48')
Rakhmatov (48')
Rahimov (2'), Kimsanov (62')
Cakic (21'), Larin (55')
Cakic (21'), Larin (55')
Form Guide
