Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for KTP had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
-1.67) 
0.01) 
