Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.