Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.