Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 51.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a VfL Osnabruck win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
