Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
