Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
