MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 05:21:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 8, 2024 at 2pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal
4 - 0
Aston Villa

Russo (17', 90+4'), Mead (39'), Blackstenius (71')
McCabe (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Patten (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Juventus
Thursday, November 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, November 17 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-1 Aston Villa Women

Arsenal will be full of confidence after claiming six wins in Slegers's seven matches in charge, and we think that they will pick up from where they left off before the international break to claim a comfortable victory in Sunday's league fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 6.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawAston Villa Women
81.66% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 11.88% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03) 6.46% (-0.028 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.72% (0.021000000000001 0.02)50.28% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.63% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)5.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.94% (0.034999999999997 0.03)21.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.96% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)48.04% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.74% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)83.26% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 81.66%
    Aston Villa Women 6.46%
    Draw 11.88%
Arsenal WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-0 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.88% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-0 @ 7.86% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 5.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 4.6% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.37% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
6-0 @ 2.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 81.66%
1-1 @ 5.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 11.88%
1-2 @ 2.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 6.46%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Aston Villa

Arsenal Women
100%
Draw
0.0%
Aston Villa Women
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Aston Villa
1-3
Arsenal
Salmon (35')
Daly (87')
Pelova (54'), Wubben-Moy (84'), Blackstenius (86')
Cooney-Cross (90+2')
Oct 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal
2-1
Aston Villa
McCabe (90+2'), Russo (90+4')
Pacheco (25')
Pacheco (43'), Parker (86')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Arsenal
0-2
Aston Villa

Taylor (32'), McCabe (86')
Daly (45+2'), Lehmann (49')
Magill (70'), Allen (77'), Hampton (85'), Hanson (90+3')
Dec 11, 2022 4.15pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
1-4
Arsenal
Hanson (6')
Corsie (26' og.), Miedema (30'), McCabe (62'), Nobbs (84')
May 1, 2022 2.15pm
Gameweek 21
Arsenal
7-0
Aston Villa
Miedema (9', 13'), Corsie (52' og.), Mead (61'), Wubben-Moy (66'), Blackstenius (83'), Parris (90' pen.)
Foord (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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