Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 25, 2023 at 12am UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Wanderers0 - 1Nacional
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Wanderers
Sunday, April 16 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, April 16 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Medellin
Wednesday, April 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.
Result | ||
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Nacional |
22.9% ( -0.39) | 25.69% ( 0.09) | 51.41% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.86% ( -0.66) | 55.14% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.61% ( -0.55) | 76.39% ( 0.55) |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.66% ( -0.74) | 39.34% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.96% ( -0.7) | 76.04% ( 0.7) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% ( -0.14) | 21.49% ( 0.14) |